Wednesday, September 14, 2011

If CNN's Senior Poltical Analyst Says It . . .

David Gergen, CNN senior political analyst (analyzing Monday's GOP debate):

"There's no question that Romney and Perry will remain the frontrunners Romney has a better command of the facts. He's a more practiced debater. He gave one of the best answers of his entire campaign when he was asked how he would balance the budget. But Perry has the command presence, and even though people took shots at him as you said, he deflected reasonably well, he came in as a better debater, he was more even this time." ( read in entirety what "less senior" CNN analysts say here )

Apparently Mr Gergen has his mind made up and has chosen our future GOP nominee for us. It'll be Perry or Romney. Or could this be wishful thinking on his part?

Not this time, sir. Its possible that Mr Gergen has forgotten the various Tea Party groups (some of whom apparently helped sponsor this debate) who continue to throw their formidable support behind the Bachmann and Cain campaigns/orgs. These groups are not quite ready to simply accept whatever candidate(s) the media and Republican hierarchy toss their way. No matter how nicely packaged and polished they are.


Its way too soon to declare who the nominee will be, Mr Gergen. Way too soon. Its a new era - no politics as usual.


One only has to look back at where John McCain’s campaign was at this point in 2008 to know that it is way too early to count out any of the serious candidates in the race. Governor Perry may very well be the nominee. His record on the economy is outstanding and minus immigration, he’s got just about all the right Conservative credentials. However, with the conservative voters that will dominate most caucuses and primaries we here at CSC see little path to the nomination for Romney. He’ll likely do well and poll well, but not well enough to win. His record and his always changing stances on the issues are just too far out of line with the base Conservative Republican voter. And it’s those Conservative caucus and primary voters that will decide the nominee in January, February, and March of 2012 not a CNN analyst in September of 2011. It could be Perry or someone like a Bachmann (heck even Gingrich if he continues to perform like he did in this week’s debate) could prove to be the comeback kid of 2012.

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